Hershey (HSY): Navigating Cocoa Costs & Q2 2026 Earnings Outlook

Font: Financial Modeling Prep  • Jul 10, 2026

The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY): Navigating Cocoa Costs and Eyeing Recovery

• The Hershey Company continues to face pressure from elevated cocoa costs, although easing commodity prices and stronger operating results may support a gradual recovery in profitability.
• Investors are now focused on Hershey’s upcoming second-quarter 2026 earnings report. Analysts expect continued earnings growth, while the average analyst price target of $217.50 suggests potential upside from recent trading levels. However, the broader analyst consensus remains cautious.

The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY) is a major chocolate, confectionery, and snack producer with full-year 2025 net sales of approximately $11.7 billion. The company operates within the Consumer Staples sector, which includes businesses that produce essential consumer goods.

Hershey is navigating the effects of historically high cocoa prices, which placed significant pressure on profitability. Reported net income declined from approximately $797 million in the fourth quarter of 2024 to $224 million in the first quarter of 2025 and $63 million in the following quarter. However, cocoa prices have declined from their previous highs, while price increases and stronger sales have helped improve the company’s recent financial performance.

The company reported a stronger start to 2026. First-quarter net sales increased 10.6% year over year to approximately $3.1 billion, while adjusted earnings per share rose 12.4% to $2.35. Reported operating profit also increased substantially as higher sales and pricing helped offset elevated commodity and tariff-related costs.

Despite these improvements, cost pressures have not disappeared. Hershey continues to face elevated cocoa and other input costs, and the pace of margin recovery remains uncertain. Management has reaffirmed its full-year outlook, including expected net sales growth of 4% to 5% and adjusted earnings-per-share growth of 30% to 35%.

Investors are now awaiting Hershey’s second-quarter 2026 earnings report, expected on July 29, 2026. Some analysts anticipate earnings of approximately $1.46 per share.

According to MarketBeat data cited in recent analysis, Hershey has an average 12-month analyst price target of $217.50. Although this implies potential upside from recent prices, most analysts currently maintain a “Hold” rating. The range of analyst price targets also reflects uncertainty about consumer demand, pricing power, cocoa costs, and the timing of a broader margin recovery.