Burlington Stores (NYSE: BURL): Analyzing the Off-Price Retailer's Stock Performance and Outlook

Font: Financial Modeling Prep  • Aug 31, 2026

• Goldman Sachs set a $382.00 price target for Burlington, suggesting a 45% upside from its trading price of $263.51.
• Despite strong Q2 adjusted EPS of $2.37 beating estimates, Burlington's stock fell 7.6% due to a revenue miss ($3.002 billion vs. $3.020 billion).
• Investor concerns arose from Burlington's Q3 adjusted earnings forecast of between $1.60 and $1.70 per share, which is below the analyst consensus of $2.03.

Burlington Stores (NYSE: BURL) is an American off-price department store retailer. The company sells brand-name merchandise at lower prices than typical department stores. It operates in a competitive market, facing rivals like TJX Companies (NYSE: TJX) and Ross Stores (NASDAQ: ROST). These companies all compete for value-conscious consumers.

An analyst at Goldman Sachs has set a new price target for Burlington at $382.00. When this target was announced, the stock was trading at $263.51. This suggests a potential increase of about 45% from that price, indicating the analyst sees significant value in the company despite some recent challenges.

Burlington's stock recently fell 7.6% even after it reported strong second-quarter earnings, as highlighted by Zacks. This drop occurred because its total revenue of $3.002 billion missed analyst estimates of $3.020 billion. However, its adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.37 beat the expected $2.18.

Despite the revenue miss, Burlington showed positive signs. As reported by Proactive Investors, revenue still grew 11% from the previous year, and its gross margin expanded to 46.2%. The gross margin is the profit a company makes on its merchandise sales before accounting for other expenses. This performance marks the 15th consecutive quarter of double-digit earnings growth.

A key reason for the stock's decline is Burlington's forecast for the third quarter. Burlington anticipates adjusted earnings between $1.60 and $1.70 per share. As noted by Benzinga, this guidance is below the analyst consensus estimate of $2.03, causing concern among investors about its short-term performance.