Analyst Ratings and Price Targets for Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) Amid Q3 Delivery Watch

Font: Financial Modeling Prep  • Sep 28, 2026

• Analyst sentiment on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) remains divided, with bullish firms focused on autonomy, Semi production, and energy storage, while more cautious firms point to delivery and valuation risks.
• Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an “Overweight” rating and a $485.00 price target, citing progress in Tesla’s Semi truck production and autonomous driving strategy.
• Investors are watching Tesla’s Q3 delivery report closely, with estimates ranging from about 435,000 vehicles at Goldman Sachs to about 475,000 vehicles at Barclays.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is a major electric vehicle and clean energy company known for EVs, battery storage, solar products, autonomous driving software, and its developing robotaxi strategy. The company also continues to expand into commercial vehicles through the Tesla Semi.

Analyst opinion on Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) remains mixed. KeyBanc’s “Sector Weight” rating should be described as neutral rather than bullish, because it generally means the firm expects the stock to perform roughly in line with its sector. The original article’s wording made this sound more positive than it is.

Some analysts are more optimistic. Cantor Fitzgerald reiterated an “Overweight” rating with a $485.00 price target, citing Tesla’s progress in Semi truck production and autonomous driving. The firm also estimated Q3 deliveries of about 421,758 vehicles, below the Visible Alpha consensus estimate of 448,679.

Other analysts remain more cautious. Goldman Sachs maintained a “Neutral” rating and a $360.00 price target while estimating Q3 deliveries at about 435,000 vehicles. Barclays was more optimistic on deliveries, estimating about 475,000 units. This wide forecast range shows that Wall Street remains divided on Tesla’s near-term demand outlook. 

Investors are closely watching Tesla’s upcoming Q3 delivery numbers because they will offer a clearer view of demand across major markets. However, Tesla’s valuation is increasingly tied not only to vehicle deliveries, but also to autonomy, robotaxis, robotics, and energy storage growth.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) recently traded around $357.45, with a market capitalization of approximately $1.41 trillion. The stock remains highly sensitive to delivery data, analyst revisions, and updates on the company’s autonomous driving roadmap.